ValthorLabs

Tools / Risk Analysis

Drawdown Recovery Calculator

Understand how much return is required to recover from a drawdown. The deeper the drawdown, the more demanding the recovery.

Local processing Deterministic model No data stored

Inputs

Scenario preset

Inputs are processed locally in your browser and are not transmitted or stored.

Results

Required recovery42.86%Return needed from current equity
Equity after drawdown$7,000.00−30.00%
Recovery amount$3,000.00Capital gap to break-even
Estimated recovery time7.31months
Recovery pressureSignificant
Recovery demand is materially higher than the original percentage loss.

A 30.00% drawdown requires a 42.86% return on the remaining equity to recover the initial balance.

Drawdown vs. required recovery

The relationship between drawdown and the return needed to break even.

Required recoveryDrawdown reference
Drawdown versus required recovery A curve showing that required recovery rises non-linearly as drawdown increases. Drawdown: 30.00% Recovery: 42.86%
Drawdown10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
Required recovery11.11%25.00%42.86%66.67%100.00%150.00%233.33%400.00%900.00%

Why recovery is not linear

A loss is measured from the original equity, while the recovery gain is earned on a smaller remaining balance. The deeper the drawdown, the larger the percentage gain required to return to break-even.

10%drawdown

needs 11.11%
to recover

30%drawdown

needs 42.86%
to recover

50%drawdown

needs 100.00%
to recover

80%drawdown

needs 400.00%
to recover

Methodology and limitations

The calculations are deterministic mathematical illustrations based on the values entered by the user. Estimated recovery time assumes a constant compounded monthly return and does not represent an expected or guaranteed outcome. Actual trading results may differ materially due to volatility, execution costs, additional drawdowns and other market factors.